Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.162106 0.189602 0.219827 0.255449 0.296207 0.341311 0.394927
2025-11-09 0.113390 0.149610 0.193803 0.251345 0.323908 0.411957 0.526420
2025-11-16 0.086651 0.125223 0.176094 0.247356 0.343735 0.468554 0.641254
2025-11-23 0.067460 0.105390 0.158829 0.238412 0.352438 0.508153 0.734679
2025-11-30 0.059934 0.099911 0.159391 0.252506 0.392281 0.591415 0.892821
2025-12-07 0.049095 0.087235 0.147085 0.245409 0.399724 0.628570 0.988097
2025-12-14 0.040471 0.076395 0.135662 0.237505 0.404049 0.660257 1.076623
2025-12-21 0.034017 0.067988 0.126730 0.231977 0.410730 0.695096 1.171635
2025-12-28 0.030264 0.063687 0.123967 0.236057 0.432895 0.755357 1.310374
2026-01-04 0.027687 0.061116 0.123791 0.244359 0.462596 0.829705 1.476898
2026-01-11 0.025051 0.057958 0.122043 0.249460 0.486936 0.896680 1.635760
2026-01-18 0.022463 0.054445 0.119096 0.251845 0.506376 0.956434 1.786260
2026-01-25 0.019803 0.050391 0.114674 0.251134 0.520509 1.008872 1.929644
2026-02-01 0.017188 0.045979 0.108931 0.247151 0.528117 1.050395 2.057250
2026-02-08 0.014958 0.042035 0.103583 0.243227 0.535241 1.091260 2.186197
2026-02-15 0.012694 0.037552 0.096375 0.234418 0.531558 1.111324 2.277842
2026-02-22 0.012242 0.037620 0.099485 0.248299 0.575449 1.225176 2.552924
2026-03-01 0.010551 0.034055 0.093570 0.241309 0.574882 1.252315 2.663942
2026-03-08 0.009053 0.030703 0.087652 0.233525 0.571703 1.273749 2.764916
2026-03-15 0.007874 0.028019 0.082989 0.228081 0.573008 1.304116 2.885265
2026-03-22 0.007261 0.026921 0.082266 0.232099 0.595904 1.380567 3.103252
2026-03-29 0.006874 0.026458 0.083174 0.240275 0.629040 1.480711 3.375780
2026-04-05 0.006395 0.025596 0.082865 0.245299 0.655192 1.567621 3.625944